- Обзор тура -

Обзор тура

Regular Season (Day # 1)Regular Season (Day # 2)Regular Season (Day # 3)Regular Season (Day # 4)Regular Season (Day # 5)Regular Season (Day # 6)Regular Season (Day # 7)Regular Season (Day # 8)Regular Season (Day # 9)Regular Season (Day # 10)Regular Season (Day # 11)Regular Season (Day # 12)Regular Season (Day # 13)Regular Season (Day # 14)Regular Season (Day # 15)Regular Season (Day # 16)Regular Season (Day # 17)Regular Season (Day # 18)Regular Season (Day # 19)Regular Season (Day # 20)Regular Season (Day # 21)Regular Season (Day # 22)Regular Season (Day # 23)Regular Season (Day # 24)Regular Season (Day # 25)Regular Season (Day # 26)Regular Season (Day # 27)Regular Season (Day # 28)Regular Season (Day # 29)Regular Season (Day # 30)Regular Season (Day # 31)Regular Season (Day # 32)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.1-E.8), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.2-E.7), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.3-E.6), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.4-E.5), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.1-W.8), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.2-W.7), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.3-W.6), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.4-W.5), 1-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.1-E.8), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.2-E.7), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.3-E.6), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.4-E.5), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.1-W.8), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.2-W.7), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.3-W.6), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.4-W.5), 2-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.1-E.8), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.2-E.7), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.3-E.6), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.4-E.5), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.1-W.8), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.2-W.7), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.3-W.6), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.4-W.5), 3-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.1-E.8), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.2-E.7), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.3-E.6), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.4-E.5), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.1-W.8), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.2-W.7), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.3-W.6), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.4-W.5), 4-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.2-E.7), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.3-E.6), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.4-E.5), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.1-W.8), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.2-W.7), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.3-W.6), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.4-W.5), 5-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.2-E.7), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (E.4-E.5), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.1-W.8), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.2-W.7), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (W.3-W.6), 6-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E1-E5), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E2-E3), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W2-W8), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W3-W4), 1-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E1-E5), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E2-E3), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W2-W8), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W3-W4), 2-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E1-E5), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E2-E3), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W2-W8), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W3-W4), 3-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E1-E5), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E2-E3), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W2-W8), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W3-W4), 4-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E2-E3), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W2-W8), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W3-W4), 5-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E2-E3), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W2-W8), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (W3-W4), 6-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (E2-E3), 7-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (E1-E2), Game #1), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (W2-W3), Game #1)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (E1-E2), Game #2), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (W2-W3), Game #2)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (E1-E2), Game #3), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (W2-W3), Game #3)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (E1-E2), Game #4), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (W2-W3), Game #4)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (E1-E2), Game #5), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (W2-W3), Game #5)Playoffs (Western Conference Final (W2-W3), Game #6)Playoffs (Western Conference Final (W2-W3), Game #7)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (E1-W3), Game #1)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (E1-W3), Game #2)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (E1-W3), Game #3)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (E1-W3), Game #4)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (E1-W3), Game #5)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	NY RANGERS	44% 88	13% 6	43% 84	WASHINGTON
2	MONTREAL	78% 152	6% 2	15% 24	CAROLINA
3	OTTAWA	75% 145	9% 7	16% 26	TORONTO
4	NASHVILLE	16% 25	6% 2	78% 151	SAN JOSE
5	CALGARY	62% 121	10% 6	28% 51	COLORADO
6	BUFFALO	84% 162	5% 2	11% 14	FLORIDA
7	DETROIT	80% 156	6% 3	13% 19	DALLAS
8	MINNESOTA	46% 92	12% 5	41% 81	PHOENIX
9	EDMONTON	42% 83	12% 4	46% 91	COLORADO
10	LOS ANGELES	42% 82	10% 1	48% 95	PHILADELPHIA
11	CAROLINA	53% 104	12% 7	35% 67	TORONTO
12	ATLANTA	50% 99	11% 3	39% 76	BOSTON
13	OTTAWA	25% 45	9% 5	66% 128	PITTSBURGH
14	ST LOUIS	57% 112	9% 2	34% 64	PHOENIX
15	NASHVILLE	20% 33	7% 3	73% 142	NEW JERSEY
16	CALGARY	56% 110	13% 9	31% 59	CHICAGO

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   520.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Flyers	Red Wings	2 - 5	0 - 0	9 - 10	2 - 5	2.9 - 4.3
Panthers	Rangers	3 - 2	0 - 0	10 - 10	3 - 2	2.9 - 2.6
Islanders	Predators	1 - 5	0 - 0	12 - 14	1 - 5	6.8 - 3.9
Senators	Bruins	7 - 2	0 - 0	12 - 5	7 - 2	3 - 2.6
Sabres	Oilers	4 - 6	0 - 0	15 - 15	4 - 6	8.2 - 3.2
Maple Leafs	Canadiens	4 - 2	0 - 0	7 - 8	4 - 2	3.4 - 3
Capitals	Thrashers	4 - 1	0 - 0	9 - 7	4 - 1	3.9 - 3.3
Lightning	Hurricanes	1 - 3	0 - 0	13 - 8	1 - 3	4.8 - 2.5
Blue Jackets	Penguins	1 - 4	0 - 0	7 - 8	1 - 4	3.2 - 3.5
Black Hawks	Devils	2 - 1	0 - 0	7 - 3	2 - 1	2.2 - 1.6
Blues	Coyotes	4 - 7	0 - 0	12 - 14	4 - 7	6.6 - 2.8
Wild	Canucks	4 - 2	0 - 0	7 - 8	4 - 2	2.5 - 3.5
Flames	Avalanche	2 - 5	0 - 0	8 - 15	2 - 5	4.1 - 4.5
Kings	Mighty Ducks	4 - 5	0 - 0	16 - 13	4 - 5	9.3 - 2.5
Sharks	Stars	2 - 5	0 - 0	12 - 13	2 - 5	3.6 - 4.8

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Очки набранные дома/в гостях:   15 / 15

Процент угаданных исходов:   29%  (828 из 2848)