Обзор тура

Regular Season (Day # 1)Regular Season (Day # 2)Regular Season (Day # 3)Regular Season (Day # 4)Regular Season (Day # 5)Regular Season (Day # 6)Regular Season (Day # 7)Regular Season (Day # 8)Regular Season (Day # 9)Regular Season (Day # 10)Regular Season (Day # 11)Regular Season (Day # 12)Regular Season (Day # 13)Regular Season (Day # 14)Regular Season (Day # 15)Regular Season (Day # 16)Regular Season (Day # 17)Regular Season (Day # 18)Regular Season (Day # 19)Regular Season (Day # 20)Regular Season (Day # 21)Regular Season (Day # 22)Regular Season (Day # 23)Regular Season (Day # 24)Regular Season (Day # 25)Regular Season (Day # 26)Regular Season (Day # 27)Regular Season (Day # 28)Regular Season (Day # 29)Regular Season (Day # 30)Regular Season (Day # 31)Regular Season (Day # 32)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 1-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 2-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 3-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 4-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 5-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 6-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (2-8), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (4-6), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (1-6), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 1-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (2-8), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (4-6), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (1-6), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 2-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (2-8), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (4-6), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (1-6), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 3-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (2-8), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (4-6), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (1-6), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 4-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (2-8), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (1-6), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 5-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 1-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 2-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 3-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 4-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 5-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 6-й матч)Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 6-й матч)Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 7-й матч)Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 7-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 1-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 2-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 3-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 4-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 5-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 6-й матч)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	TORONTO	26% 35	8% 2	66% 98	BOSTON
2	OTTAWA	66% 97	8% 1	27% 37	BUFFALO
3	WASHINGTON	85% 125	4% 0	11% 10	ATLANTA
4	COLUMBUS	19% 24	8% 3	73% 108	PITTSBURGH
5	TAMPA BAY	66% 97	8% 2	26% 36	COLORADO
6	NASHVILLE	62% 93	13% 9	24% 33	CAROLINA
7	DALLAS	75% 111	6% 1	18% 23	MINNESOTA
8	PHOENIX	79% 116	8% 4	14% 15	FLORIDA
9	EDMONTON	44% 66	13% 4	44% 65	ST LOUIS
10	LOS ANGELES	31% 44	9% 2	60% 89	DETROIT
11	Bridgeport	56% 83	10% 2	35% 50	Providence
12	NY ISLANDERS	17% 20	6% 1	78% 114	PHILADELPHIA
13	NY RANGERS	62% 92	9% 2	29% 41	OTTAWA
14	CHICAGO	82% 120	6% 2	12% 13	CALGARY
15	ANAHEIM	59% 87	10% 3	32% 45	PHOENIX
16	VANCOUVER	77% 114	8% 4	15% 17	ST LOUIS

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   648.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Penguins	Flyers	5 - 1	0 - 0	8 - 10	5 - 1	5.2 - 2.8
Islanders	Rangers	3 - 4	0 - 0	9 - 5	3 - 4	4.2 - 2.3
Sabres	Blues	4 - 3	0 - 0	11 - 10	4 - 3	2.8 - 3.9
Maple Leafs	Predators	3 - 4	0 - 0	11 - 12	3 - 4	7 - 2.2
Capitals	Devils	4 - 1	0 - 0	9 - 7	4 - 1	4.1 - 1.9
Hurricanes	Lightning	2 - 5	0 - 0	11 - 13	2 - 5	4.7 - 3.5
Thrashers	Panthers	5 - 4	0 - 0	10 - 10	5 - 4	3.7 - 5.6
Blue Jackets	Senators	3 - 2	0 - 0	8 - 8	3 - 2	3.7 - 3
Black Hawks	Canadiens	1 - 8	0 - 0	11 - 11	1 - 8	1.9 - 6.5
Red Wings	Bruins	5 - 4 ОТ	0 - 0	14 - 10	5 - 4	3.2 - 5.8
Wild	Mighty Ducks	4 - 5	0 - 0	13 - 10	4 - 5	3.7 - 5.4
Avalanche	Canucks	6 - 7	0 - 0	16 - 16	6 - 7	3.2 - 8.8
Oilers	Flames	3 - 7	0 - 0	15 - 13	3 - 7	5.8 - 5.3
Stars	Kings	4 - 0	0 - 0	10 - 3	4 - 0	5.5 - 1
Coyotes	Sharks	2 - 8	0 - 0	14 - 14	2 - 8	2.5 - 7.6

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Очки набранные дома/в гостях:   12 / 18

Процент угаданных исходов:   44%  (956 из 2160)