- Обзор тура -

Обзор тура

Regular Season (Day #1)Regular Season (Day #2)Regular Season (Day #3)Regular Season (Day #4)Regular Season (Day #5)Regular Season (Day #6)Regular Season (Day #7)Regular Season (Day #8)Regular Season (Day #9)Regular Season (Day #10)Regular Season (Day #11)Regular Season (Day #12)Regular Season (Day #13)Regular Season (Day #14)Regular Season (Day #15)Regular Season (Day #16)Regular Season (Day #17)Regular Season (Day #18)Regular Season (Day #19)Regular Season (Day #22)Regular Season (Day #20)Regular Season (Day #21)Regular Season (Day #24)Regular Season (Day #25)Regular Season (Day #23)Regular Season (Day #26)Regular Season (Day #28)Regular Season (Day #27)Regular Season (Day #29)Regular Season (Day #30)Regular Season (Day #31)Regular Season (Day #32)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1-EM5), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1-WC5), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2-WP3), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1-EM5), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1-WC5), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2-WP3), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1-EM5), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1-WC5), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2-WP3), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1-EM5), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1-WC5), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2-WP3), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1-EM5), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1-WC5), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2-WP3), Game #5)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1-EM5), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2-WP3), Game #6)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #7), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA1-EA2), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WC2), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WP3), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA1-EA2), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WC2), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WP3), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA1-EA2), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WC2), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WP3), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA1-EA2), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WC2), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WP3), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA1-EA2), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WC2), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WP3), Game #5)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA1-EA2), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WC2), Game #6)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA1-EA2), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA1-EM1), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP3-WC2), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA1-EM1), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP3-WC2), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA1-EM1), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP3-WC2), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA1-EM1), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP3-WC2), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA1-EM1), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP3-WC2), Game #5)Play-offs (Final (EM1-WP3), Game #1)Play-offs (Final (EM1-WP3), Game #2)Play-offs (Final (EM1-WP3), Game #3)Play-offs (Final (EM1-WP3), Game #4)Play-offs (Final (EM1-WP3), Game #5)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	Buffalo	17% 22	6% 1	76% 115	Los Angeles
2	Montreal	71% 107	8% 3	21% 28	Ottawa
3	Tampa Bay	34% 50	10% 3	56% 85	Washington
4	Columbus	27% 38	7% 0	66% 100	NY Islanders
5	St Louis	44% 68	13% 4	43% 66	Dallas
6	Nashville	78% 117	7% 3	15% 18	Colorado
7	Arizona	61% 93	10% 3	29% 42	Carolina
8	Calgary	27% 38	8% 1	66% 99	NY Rangers
9	San Jose	68% 103	8% 2	24% 33	Minnesota
10	Hartford	46% 71	11% 2	43% 65	Bridgeport
11	Hershey	76% 114	7% 2	17% 22	Binghamton
12	Portland	51% 78	10% 2	39% 58	Providence
13	Manitoba	34% 50	9% 1	57% 87	Milwaukee
14	NY Islanders	65% 98	11% 6	24% 34	New Jersey
15	St Louis	81% 121	5% 0	14% 17	Colorado
16	Chicago	73% 110	10% 6	17% 22	Vancouver

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   554.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Panthers	Hurricanes	5 - 7	0 - 0	16 - 17	5 - 7	7.7 - 4.4
Red Wings	Blue Jackets	7 - 4	0 - 0	14 - 15	7 - 4	8 - 2.7
Sabres	Rangers	6 - 2	0 - 0	9 - 9	6 - 2	4.2 - 2.2
Canadiens	Flyers	5 - 1	0 - 0	8 - 7	5 - 1	3.8 - 3.3
Bruins	Capitals	3 - 4	0 - 0	9 - 8	3 - 4	4.7 - 3.1
Senators	Penguins	5 - 3	0 - 0	10 - 7	5 - 3	4 - 3
Lightning	Islanders	3 - 5	0 - 0	11 - 10	3 - 5	2 - 6.4
Maple Leafs	Devils	2 - 9	0 - 0	15 - 14	2 - 9	3.8 - 7.6
Black Hawks	Jets	6 - 3	0 - 0	10 - 10	6 - 3	4.9 - 4.1
Stars	Blues	4 - 6	0 - 0	12 - 12	4 - 6	7 - 3.3
Wild	Avalanche	2 - 5	0 - 0	9 - 6	2 - 5	2.3 - 3.3
Oilers	Predators	6 - 3	0 - 0	14 - 13	6 - 3	6.7 - 3.5
Flames	Mighty Ducks	4 - 5	0 - 0	12 - 8	4 - 5	2.5 - 5.2
Kings	Canucks	5 - 6	0 - 0	12 - 11	5 - 6	3.9 - 5.9
Coyotes	Sharks	4 - 5	0 - 0	13 - 12	4 - 5	3 - 7.1

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Очки набранные дома/в гостях:   18 / 27

Процент угаданных исходов:   48%  (1051 из 2208)