- Обзор тура -

Обзор тура

Regular Season (Day #1)Regular Season (Day #2)Regular Season (Day #3)Regular Season (Day #4)Regular Season (Day #5)Regular Season (Day #6)Regular Season (Day #7)Regular Season (Day #8)Regular Season (Day #9)Regular Season (Day #10)Regular Season (Day #11)Regular Season (Day #12)Regular Season (Day #13)Regular Season (Day #14)Regular Season (Day #15)Regular Season (Day #16)Regular Season (Day #17)Regular Season (Day #18)Regular Season (Day #19)Regular Season (Day #20)Regular Season (Day #21)Regular Season (Day #22)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1 P.Div -4 C.Div), Game #1)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1 P.Div -4 C.Div), Game #2)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1 P.Div -4 C.Div), Game #3)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1 P.Div -4 C.Div), Game #4)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1 P.Div -4 C.Div), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #6)Play-offs (East S-Final (2At.Div - 4At.Div), Game #1), Play-offs (West S-Final (1 P.Div - 3 P.Div), Game #1)Play-offs (East S-Final (2At.Div - 4At.Div), Game #2), Play-offs (West S-Final (1 P.Div - 3 P.Div), Game #2)Play-offs (East S-Final (2At.Div - 4At.Div), Game #3), Play-offs (West S-Final (1 P.Div - 3 P.Div), Game #3)Play-offs (East S-Final (2At.Div - 4At.Div), Game #4), Play-offs (West S-Final (1 P.Div - 3 P.Div), Game #4)Play-offs (East S-Final (2At.Div - 4At.Div), Game #5)Play-offs (East Final (2At.Div - 2 Mt.Div), Game #1), Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #1)Play-offs (East Final (2At.Div - 2 Mt.Div), Game #2), Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #2)Play-offs (East Final (2At.Div - 2 Mt.Div), Game #3), Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #3)Play-offs (East Final (2At.Div - 2 Mt.Div), Game #4), Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #4)Play-offs (East Final (2At.Div - 2 Mt.Div), Game #5), Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #5)Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #6)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	Boston	Матч исключен			New Jersey
2	Buffalo	27% 37	7% 0	66% 96	NY Islanders
3	Toronto	79% 114	6% 1	15% 18	Ottawa
4	Carolina	72% 104	6% 0	22% 29	Columbus
5	Tampa Bay	78% 113	5% 0	17% 20	Florida
6	Detroit	39% 57	9% 0	52% 76	Chicago
7	Dallas	Матч исключен			Nashville
8	Edmonton	58% 85	9% 1	33% 47	Winnipeg Jets
9	Vancouver	40% 59	12% 4	47% 70	Calgary
10	San Jose	51% 75	12% 5	37% 53	Anaheim
11	Buffalo	33% 46	9% 2	58% 85	NY Islanders
12	NY Rangers	Матч исключен			Philadelphia
13	Pittsburgh	50% 74	10% 1	40% 58	Washington
14	Dallas	Матч исключен			Nashville
15	Vegas	62% 90	10% 4	28% 39	Colorado
16	Los Angeles	42% 62	15% 7	43% 64	Minnesota

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   488.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Rangers	Bruins	3 - 0	0 - 0	6 - 6	3 - 0	2.2 - 2.1
Capitals	Maple Leafs	5 - 2	0 - 0	7 - 8	5 - 2	3.5 - 2.3
Penguins	Sabres	2 - 3	0 - 0	7 - 5	2 - 3	2.3 - 2.3
Flyers	Red Wings	3 - 0	0 - 0	5 - 8	3 - 0	2.8 - 3.1
Devils	Senators	4 - 1	0 - 0	7 - 6	4 - 1	2.9 - 3
Blue Jackets	Lightning	5 - 4 ОТ	0 - 0	11 - 10	5 - 4	3.5 - 5.4
Islanders	Panthers	1 - 2	0 - 0	4 - 8	1 - 2	0.6 - 4.5
Hurricanes	Canadiens	3 - 4	0 - 0	7 - 8	3 - 4	3.3 - 4.1
Oilers	Wild	3 - 2	0 - 0	8 - 8	3 - 2	3.2 - 3.1
Sharks	Stars	7 - 3	0 - 0	11 - 10	7 - 3	3.5 - 5.3
Flames	Black Hawks	1 - 5	0 - 0	8 - 9	1 - 5	3.2 - 2.8
Kings	Blues	0 - 2	0 - 0	5 - 8	0 - 2	0.6 - 4.8
Mighty Ducks	Avalanche	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 4	1 - 2	0.5 - 1.3
Canucks	Jets	2 - 6	0 - 0	11 - 9	2 - 6	1.9 - 5.4
Predators	Coyotes	2 - 6	0 - 0	12 - 10	2 - 6	2.7 - 5.8

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Процент угаданных исходов:   47%  (750 из 1596)