- Обзор тура -

Обзор тура

Regular Season (Day #1)Regular Season (Day #2)Regular Season (Day #3)Regular Season (Day #4)Regular Season (Day #5)Regular Season (Day #6)Regular Season (Day #7)Regular Season (Day #8)Regular Season (Day #9)Regular Season (Day #10)Regular Season (Day #11)Regular Season (Day #12)Regular Season (Day #13)Regular Season (Day #14)Regular Season (Day #15)Regular Season (Day #16)Regular Season (Day #17)Regular Season (Day #18)Regular Season (Day #19)Regular Season (Day #20)Regular Season (Day #21)Regular Season (Day #22)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1 P.Div -4 C.Div), Game #1)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1 P.Div -4 C.Div), Game #2)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1 P.Div -4 C.Div), Game #3)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1 P.Div -4 C.Div), Game #4)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1 P.Div -4 C.Div), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2 C.Div -3 C.Div), Game #6)Play-offs (East S-Final (2At.Div - 4At.Div), Game #1), Play-offs (West S-Final (1 P.Div - 3 P.Div), Game #1)Play-offs (East S-Final (2At.Div - 4At.Div), Game #2), Play-offs (West S-Final (1 P.Div - 3 P.Div), Game #2)Play-offs (East S-Final (2At.Div - 4At.Div), Game #3), Play-offs (West S-Final (1 P.Div - 3 P.Div), Game #3)Play-offs (East S-Final (2At.Div - 4At.Div), Game #4), Play-offs (West S-Final (1 P.Div - 3 P.Div), Game #4)Play-offs (East S-Final (2At.Div - 4At.Div), Game #5)Play-offs (East Final (2At.Div - 2 Mt.Div), Game #1), Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #1)Play-offs (East Final (2At.Div - 2 Mt.Div), Game #2), Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #2)Play-offs (East Final (2At.Div - 2 Mt.Div), Game #3), Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #3)Play-offs (East Final (2At.Div - 2 Mt.Div), Game #4), Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #4)Play-offs (East Final (2At.Div - 2 Mt.Div), Game #5), Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #5)Play-offs (West Final (1 C.Div - 1 P.Div), Game #6)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	Columbus	38% 59	9% 0	53% 83	Dallas
2	Buffalo	12% 14	5% 0	83% 128	Pittsburgh
3	Calgary	35% 53	9% 1	56% 88	Montreal
4	New Jersey	20% 28	7% 1	73% 113	NY Islanders
5	Tampa Bay	86% 132	4% 0	10% 10	Nashville
6	Toronto	78% 120	5% 0	17% 22	Winnipeg Jets
7	Philadelphia	46% 72	11% 2	43% 68	Washington
8	Florida	68% 106	7% 0	25% 36	Chicago
9	St Louis	44% 70	10% 0	46% 72	Vegas
10	Anaheim	32% 49	11% 4	57% 89	San Jose
11	Vancouver	28% 42	7% 0	64% 100	Edmonton
12	Minnesota	77% 119	6% 1	17% 22	Arizona
13	Colorado	78% 121	5% 0	16% 21	Los Angeles
14	Ottawa	15% 18	6% 2	79% 122	Toronto
15	Hershey	66% 102	8% 1	27% 39	Lehigh Valley
16	San Diego	61% 95	10% 3	30% 44	Henderson

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   631.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Rangers	Senators	3 - 2	0 - 0	6 - 6	3 - 2	3.1 - 2.7
Capitals	Lightning	3 - 2	0 - 0	6 - 6	3 - 2	3 - 2.2
Penguins	Panthers	6 - 2	0 - 0	12 - 7	6 - 2	3.8 - 3.2
Flyers	Canadiens	3 - 2	0 - 0	6 - 6	3 - 2	3.3 - 1.8
Devils	Bruins	6 - 3	0 - 0	13 - 12	6 - 3	8.6 - 2.3
Blue Jackets	Maple Leafs	2 - 3	0 - 0	6 - 8	2 - 3	2.1 - 4.7
Islanders	Sabres	2 - 8	0 - 0	9 - 10	2 - 8	2.5 - 5.7
Hurricanes	Red Wings	5 - 4	0 - 0	9 - 11	5 - 4	3.4 - 4.7
Jets	Blues	6 - 5	0 - 0	11 - 12	6 - 5	5.9 - 4.7
Predators	Black Hawks	3 - 5	0 - 0	14 - 10	3 - 5	2.6 - 5.7
Wild	Stars	5 - 9	0 - 0	17 - 15	5 - 9	3.5 - 9.9
Avalanche	Flames	6 - 1	0 - 0	10 - 6	6 - 1	6 - 1.7
Coyotes	Canucks	10 - 3	0 - 0	14 - 20	10 - 3	9.3 - 3.7
Oilers	Mighty Ducks	5 - 6	0 - 0	14 - 15	5 - 6	7.6 - 3.6
Sharks	Kings	4 - 6	0 - 0	13 - 14	4 - 6	2.2 - 8.5

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Очки набранные дома/в гостях:   6 / 12

Процент угаданных исходов:   54%  (1225 из 2272)