- Обзор тура -

Обзор тура

Regular Season (Day #1)Regular Season (Day #2)Regular Season (Day #3)Regular Season (Day #4)Regular Season (Day #5)Regular Season (Day #6)Regular Season (Day #7)Regular Season (Day #8)Regular Season (Day #9)Regular Season (Day #10)Regular Season (Day #11)Regular Season (Day #12)Regular Season (Day #13)Regular Season (Day #14)Regular Season (Day #15)Regular Season (Day #16)Regular Season (Day #17)Regular Season (Day #18)Regular Season (Day #19)Regular Season (Day #20)Regular Season (Day #21)Regular Season (Day #22)Regular Season (Day #23)Regular Season (Day #24)Regular Season (Day #25)Regular Season (Day #26)Regular Season (Day #27)Regular Season (Day #28)Regular Season (Day #29)Regular Season (Day #30)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #5)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #6)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #7), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #7), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #7), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #6)Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #6)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #1)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #2)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #3)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #4)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #5)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #6)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	Washington	76% 105	6% 1	18% 21	Los Angeles
2	Winnipeg Jets	34% 47	9% 1	56% 79	Toronto
3	Columbus	27% 35	7% 0	66% 92	Pittsburgh
4	Montreal	40% 55	10% 1	51% 71	Dallas
5	Tampa Bay	78% 108	7% 2	15% 17	NY Islanders
6	Nashville	62% 87	8% 1	29% 39	Philadelphia
7	Vancouver	72% 100	6% 0	22% 27	Buffalo
8	Vegas	48% 67	10% 0	43% 60	Colorado
9	Calgary	55% 77	9% 1	36% 49	Carolina
10	Chicago	55% 77	9% 0	36% 50	Seattle
11	Detroit	70% 97	7% 1	23% 29	Anaheim
12	NY Rangers	82% 113	5% 1	13% 13	Columbus
13	Florida	80% 110	6% 1	15% 16	NY Islanders
14	Philadelphia	67% 93	7% 0	26% 34	San Jose
15	Rockford	54% 76	9% 1	36% 50	Manitoba
16	Tucson	37% 51	12% 4	51% 72	Bakersfield

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   559.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Panthers	Hurricanes	7 - 3	0 - 0	10 - 10	7 - 3	4.7 - 2.9
Lightning	Islanders	8 - 3	0 - 0	12 - 14	8 - 3	7.7 - 3.5
Canadiens	Penguins	4 - 3	0 - 0	8 - 8	4 - 3	5.5 - 1.6
Senators	Capitals	2 - 4	0 - 0	7 - 4	2 - 4	3.8 - 2.1
Maple Leafs	Devils	6 - 5 ОТ	0 - 0	10 - 13	6 - 5	5.5 - 5.5
Sabres	Flyers	4 - 3	0 - 0	6 - 7	4 - 3	3.8 - 2.7
Bruins	Rangers	5 - 3	0 - 0	10 - 10	5 - 3	3.7 - 3.9
Red Wings	Blue Jackets	3 - 7	0 - 0	12 - 13	3 - 7	3.1 - 4.8
Kings	Predators	6 - 1	0 - 0	9 - 11	6 - 1	6.2 - 1.6
Flames	Black Hawks	4 - 0	0 - 0	6 - 6	4 - 0	2.6 - 2.5
Kraken	Jets	4 - 5	0 - 0	9 - 10	4 - 5	4.7 - 4
Golden Knights	Coyotes	5 - 2	0 - 0	12 - 13	5 - 2	5.6 - 3.4
Oilers	Avalanche	1 - 3	0 - 0	9 - 7	1 - 3	2.2 - 4.2
Mighty Ducks	Blues	6 - 4	0 - 0	11 - 12	6 - 4	5.2 - 4.1
Canucks	Stars	3 - 7	0 - 0	13 - 14	3 - 7	5.3 - 4.6
Sharks	Wild	5 - 4	0 - 0	15 - 13	5 - 4	4.5 - 4.3

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Процент угаданных исходов:   54%  (1090 из 2032)