- Обзор тура -

Обзор тура

Regular Season (Day #1)Regular Season (Day #2)Regular Season (Day #3)Regular Season (Day #4)Regular Season (Day #5)Regular Season (Day #6)Regular Season (Day #7)Regular Season (Day #8)Regular Season (Day #9)Regular Season (Day #10)Regular Season (Day #11)Regular Season (Day #12)Regular Season (Day #13)Regular Season (Day #14)Regular Season (Day #15)Regular Season (Day #16)Regular Season (Day #17)Regular Season (Day #18)Regular Season (Day #19)Regular Season (Day #20)Regular Season (Day #21)Regular Season (Day #22)Regular Season (Day #23)Regular Season (Day #24)Regular Season (Day #25)Regular Season (Day #26)Regular Season (Day #27)Regular Season (Day #28)Regular Season (Day #29)Regular Season (Day #30)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #5)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #6)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #7), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #7), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #7), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #6)Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #6)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #1)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #2)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #3)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #4)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #5)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #6)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	Buffalo	31% 40	8% 0	61% 82	Vegas
2	Boston	75% 100	6% 0	19% 22	Calgary
3	Detroit	32% 42	10% 3	57% 77	NY Rangers
4	Carolina	65% 87	8% 1	27% 34	Edmonton
5	Columbus	38% 51	9% 0	53% 71	Philadelphia
6	New Jersey	74% 99	6% 0	20% 23	Ottawa
7	NY Islanders	80% 106	5% 0	15% 16	Arizona
8	St Louis	63% 84	9% 2	28% 36	San Jose
9	Colorado	73% 97	6% 0	21% 25	Nashville
10	Los Angeles	73% 97	7% 1	20% 24	Chicago
11	Washington	36% 48	9% 0	55% 74	Tampa Bay
12	Toronto	68% 91	7% 1	24% 30	Pittsburgh
13	Dallas	75% 100	6% 0	19% 22	San Jose
14	Seattle	48% 65	10% 1	42% 56	Minnesota
15	Hershey	50% 68	11% 2	39% 52	Bridgeport
16	Utica	68% 91	7% 1	24% 30	Laval

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   559.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Islanders	Flames	6 - 2	0 - 0	10 - 8	6 - 2	4.7 - 2.7
Hurricanes	Kings	2 - 8	0 - 0	13 - 14	2 - 8	2 - 8.7
Blue Jackets	Jets	4 - 7	0 - 0	17 - 13	4 - 7	2.9 - 8.3
Rangers	Coyotes	7 - 4	0 - 0	13 - 14	7 - 4	7.8 - 3.1
Maple Leafs	Avalanche	1 - 5	0 - 0	5 - 6	1 - 5	1.7 - 3.5
Sabres	Blues	5 - 7	0 - 0	10 - 14	5 - 7	5.4 - 4.9
Bruins	Golden Knights	5 - 4	0 - 0	15 - 13	5 - 4	6 - 3.4
Red Wings	Kraken	4 - 10	0 - 0	15 - 14	4 - 10	3.3 - 9
Black Hawks	Lightning	2 - 3	0 - 0	3 - 6	2 - 3	1.5 - 3.3
Predators	Panthers	3 - 7	0 - 0	12 - 13	3 - 7	2.1 - 8.5
Wild	Penguins	4 - 8	0 - 0	13 - 14	4 - 8	3.2 - 7.9
Stars	Capitals	1 - 6	0 - 0	13 - 12	1 - 6	3.2 - 5.2
Oilers	Devils	5 - 4 ОТ	0 - 0	10 - 9	5 - 4	2.5 - 5.4
Mighty Ducks	Flyers	7 - 6 ОТ	0 - 0	21 - 14	7 - 6	4.6 - 8.2
Canucks	Senators	7 - 6	0 - 0	17 - 13	7 - 6	4.4 - 7.5
Sharks	Canadiens	1 - 10	0 - 0	14 - 14	1 - 10	3.3 - 8.4

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Процент угаданных исходов:   53%  (1044 из 1952)